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Everything Keeps Getting Better: 2018 Edition

Everything Keeps Getting Better: 2018 Edition

Do you ever get the feeling that the only news they report is bad news? Well if you’ve ever wondered why that is, there is someone you can blame for the media’s persistently negative outlook: yourself. It seems the media mostly just gives us what we want, or at least what we click on, and […]

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Where’d All the Risk Go?

Where’d All the Risk Go?

America is more divided now than ever, a hostile foreign power is openly threatening us with nuclear weapons, and we don’t even know what next year’s tax rates will be. In this era of acrimony and uncertainty, surely the market must be a roller coaster ride of volatility right now… Hahaha yeah right. VIX data […]

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Bitcoin; and other Fun Ways of Setting Your Money on Fire

Bitcoin; and other Fun Ways of Setting Your Money on Fire

Alright, bring on the hate mail! As I promised in my last post, today I give you more than you ever wanted to know on why Bitcoin is an investment you should probably avoid. I have resisted the temptation to write about Bitcoin on here for a while, partly because I am sure there is […]

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3 Investments to Avoid in an Expensive Market

3 Investments to Avoid in an Expensive Market

You’ve probably heard it, maybe you’re worried about it: stocks are expensive, bonds are expensive, real estate is expensive, it seems like just about everywhere you look markets are overvalued. Are we in the mother of all bubbles? In my last post, I tried to assuage some of these concerns and point to some corners […]

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Wildfires: Small Business – Big Hearts

Wildfires: Small Business – Big Hearts

As I woke again this morning to the smoky haze covering San Francisco, I am reminded of my many friends in Napa and Santa Rosa affected by the current spate of wildfires that popped up suddenly Sunday night. My best wishes for their safety and security go out to all those affected. It is truly […]

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3 Investments to Consider for an Expensive Market

3 Investments to Consider for an Expensive Market

Here’s a concern we’ve been hearing from investors more and more lately: There aren’t any good investment opportunities right now. Stocks are expensive, bonds are expensive, and cash is still paying next to nothing (and less than nothing after inflation). How is an investor supposed to make any money in an environment like this? Since […]

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Three Behavioral Hacks for Business Owners to Take Back Their Lives and Eliminate Retirement Worries

Three Behavioral Hacks for Business Owners to Take Back Their Lives and Eliminate Retirement Worries

Business Owners, Take Back Your Life and Eliminate Worry Over Whether You Will Have Enough to Retire on.   How familiar does this scenario sound? You started your business because you had a vision of helping others while helping yourself succeed financially in the process. Along the way however, you got lost in the business […]

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Profiting from the Recklessness of Others

Profiting from the Recklessness of Others

A couple months ago, I wrote about the dangers of levered ETFs, showing how these products designed to juice investor’s returns end up eroding capital due to the subtle mathematical logic of compounding. In my last post, I followed up on the topic by describing the Kelly Criterion, a mathematical framework that can tell investors […]

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The Line Between Aggressive and Crazy

The Line Between Aggressive and Crazy

Suppose I offer you a bet. Flip a coin, heads you lose your entire bet, tails you win it back plus one and a half times, so a ten dollar bet becomes $25. And furthermore I’ll let you keep making this bet as many times as you like over the next hour, say. This is […]

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Credit Double Threat on the Horizon

Credit Double Threat on the Horizon

Recently, the WSJ reported on two positive credit trends in the US Economy. Individually, these trends are very positive for a growing economy, however, in combination, they could potentially be the foundation for another credit bubble way down the road. Credit scores for US consumers hit record levels last month with the average score nationwide […]

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